Regina International Airport Master Plan Traffic Forecast

Project Brief

InterVISTAS was selected to develop the airport master plan for Regina International Airport (YQR) including the development of planning forecasts and a 100-year traffic projection to assist in land use planning.

Approach

As part of the airport master planning activity, InterVISTAS developed a long-term traffic forecast employing econometric modelling and the use of InterVISTAS’ risk-based Monte Carlo simulation forecasting methodology. Aircraft movement forecasts were also developed using the risk-based process and incorporated leading market intelligence about future air service development and aircraft technology.

To respond to a request from Transport Canada, InterVISTAS produced an ultra-long-term passenger and aircraft movements projection for a 100-year time frame. These very long-range projections were used to determine the probability of requiring a third runway at the airport over a 100-year timeframe was incredibly low and thus allowing the land use plan to maintain the existing runway arrangement.